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Peter Zeihan

The End of the World is Just the Beginning: Mapping the Collapse of Globalization Audio CD – Unabridged, 14 June 2022

by Peter Zeihan (Author)

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2019 was the last great year for the world economy.

For generations, everything has been getting faster, better, and cheaper. Finally, we reached the point that almost anything you could ever want could be sent to your home within days - even hours - of when you decided you wanted it.

America made that happen, but now America has lost interest in keeping it going.

Globe-spanning supply chains are only possible with the protection of the U.S. Navy. The American dollar underpins internationalized energy and financial markets. Complex, innovative industries were created to satisfy American consumers. American security policy forced warring nations to lay down their arms. Billions of people have been fed and educated as the American-led trade system spread across the globe.

All of this was artificial. All this was temporary. All this is ending.

In The End of the World is Just the Beginning, author and geopolitical strategist Peter Zeihan maps out the next world: a world where countries or regions will have no choice but to make their own goods, grow their own food, secure their own energy, fight their own battles, and do it all with populations that are both shrinking and aging.

The list of countries that make it all work is smaller than you think. Which means everything about our interconnected world - from how we manufacture products, to how we grow food, to how we keep the lights on, to how we shuttle stuff about, to how we pay for it all - is about to change.

A world ending. A world beginning. Zeihan brings readers along for an illuminating (and a bit terrifying) ride packed with foresight, wit, and his trademark irreverence.

Print length

1 pages
Language

English
Publisher

HarperCollins B and Blackstone Publishing
Publication date

14 June 2022
Dimensions

15.49 x 4.83 x 14.22 cm
ISBN-13

979-8200972197
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Product details

ASIN ‏ : ‎ B09T38S18M
Publisher ‏ : ‎ HarperCollins B and Blackstone Publishing; Unabridged edition (14 June 2022)
Language ‏ : ‎ English
Audio CD ‏ : ‎ 1 pages
ISBN-13 ‏ : ‎ 979-8200972197
Dimensions ‏ : ‎ 15.49 x 4.83 x 14.22 cm

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About the author

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Peter Zeihan

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Geopolitical Strategist Peter Zeihan is a global energy, demographic and security expert.

Zeihan’s worldview marries the realities of geography and populations to a deep understanding of how global politics impact markets and economic trends, helping industry leaders navigate today’s complex mix of geopolitical risks and opportunities. With a keen eye toward what will drive tomorrow’s headlines, his irreverent approach transforms topics that are normally dense and heavy into accessible, relevant takeaways for audiences of all types.

In his career, Zeihan has ranged from working for the US State Department in Australia, to the DC think tank community, to helping develop the analytical models for Stratfor, one of the world’s premier private intelligence companies. Mr. Zeihan founded his own firm -- Zeihan on Geopolitics -- in 2012 in order to provide a select group of clients with direct, custom analytical products. Today those clients represent a vast array of sectors including energy majors, financial institutions, business associations, agricultural interests, universities and the U.S. military.

His freshman book, The Accidental Superpower, debuted in 2014. He followed Accidental with The Absent Superpower (2016), Disunited Nations (2019), and in June of 2022 his newest release: The End of the World is Just the Beginning: Mapping the Collapse of Globalization.

Find out more about Peter -- and your world -- at www.zeihan.com

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Mr. Rupert Ls Smith

A valuable insight into where we are heading.

Reviewed in the United Kingdom on 22 June 2022

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This book provides a lot of detail on the risks that our current globalized system faces - and how it will all fall down like a Jenga tower if the American brick is moved. Its worrying stuff but I think Zeihan is doing a great job of helping ordinary folk understand the situation more clearly.

It is a highly readable step forwards from Zeihans previous books. The first 3 Zeihan books - "The Accidental Super-Power", "The Absent Super-Power" and "Disunited Nations" significantly overlap. I read them all but by the end felt as though it was just on repeat. This book concentrates more on the likely outcomes of collapse, working accross all significant areas of human existence as made possible by global economics; energy, resources, finance, manufacturing and agriculture. It adds significantly to overall theme that Zeihan likes to explore and of all his books I think it is the best one.

This book does not cover so much the reasons why a collapse is likely. So I would recommend to read just 2 of his books "The Absent Super-Power" and this one to get the full picture.

He is an engaging author and the often irreverant interjections had me laughing out loud. Above all this book has really got me thinking about things in a big way.

Another review dismissed one of his books as the mutterings of a racist taxi driver. He does sometimes come accross that way, yet the book is very well researched and convincing in its arguments, despite getting some of the details wrong. For example, he says that the British political left was all but captured by fascists under Jeremy Corbyn - the reality is that there was a succesfull smear campaign to paint Corbyn as a racist by a media that supported the other party and was prepared to do their dirty work. When you read things like that you do wonder how much of the subtleties of things he misses elsewhere coming from a USA centric viewpoint. Despite that, the overall arguments he makes are pretty convincing and I feel certain that many of his predictions are likely to come true.

Zeihan goes against much of contemporary thinking that sees the innevitable rise of China. He is very down on China and with well thought out reasons. Current China worries are hugely over-done, and I think we should be ready to be sympathetic towards the Chinese because their suffering is likely to be immense.

4 people found this helpful

Andrew Duguid

Entertaining but flawed.

Reviewed in the United Kingdom on 5 August 2022

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An entertaining read, suffused with Peter Zeihan’s black humour – and humour is something we’re going to need bags of if we are to stay sane in the dystopian world the writer portends.
There are two main angles to the writer’s argument. First, the end of the world order due to the United States stepping down from their role as global policeman. This will leave shipping at the mercy of pirates and nefarious states, which will break down all important trade routes and end 70 plus years of globalisation. Second, ageing populations in the developed and newly industrialised worlds will put economies into free fall as consumer spending and tax revenues dry up and pension payments consume the bare bones of what is left.
Both discussions are interesting but full of holes. The writer makes no mention of NATO or America’s continued military presence across the world, including in the western Pacific. I was also baffled by the writer’s insistence that Japan’s navy would protect trade routes in the Pacific. A Google search will tell you that China has not only the largest navy in the region, but on the planet. Use that information as you will.
As for ageing populations, Japan seems to be doing okay despite it being a model of where many countries are headed. Mr Zeihan also fails to mention immigration, which has helped increase the birth rates in the US and could do the same for ageing societies such as Germany and countries in Eastern Europe.
Reading this book, you are left with the impression that the USA is a land of milk and honey that is about to get even sweeter. East Asia and most of the developing world are staring down an abyss of famine and de-industrialisation. It does come across as a PR exercise for the US, Mr Zeihan’s home. Much as I like the place, in my eyes it is a country riven by political differences, and which seems prepared to tear itself apart.
Read this book for the entertainment value but for a more accurate – and positive - vision of the future, look elsewhere.

David Keay

Most of it is Excellent

Reviewed in Canada on 13 July 2022

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Having read the book twice, and taken some time to think about what Mr. Zeihan’s thesis is, my thoughts on this book are as follows:
1. The most powerful part of his thesis is his discussions on the coming decline in the population of the world. Countries like Japan and China as well as most of Europe are already in a state of population decline. The rest of the world is not far behind. The coming outcomes that he describes as a result of population decline are hard to dispute, however he has not discussed anywhere what impact AI/Robotics will have on addressing the coming shortages of labor.
2. The second major part of his thesis is that because the USA is no longer willing to be the world’s policeman means that we may be entering a period of lawlessness on the high seas. He says that only those countries that can project naval power beyond their coastal shores can protect their own shipping if for any reason anyone wants to impede them e.g. Japan has a long-range navy and could impede Chinese ships from reaching China by blockading the Straits of Malacca. China does not have sufficient navy to counteract this. India could decide to impose a ”transit charge” on any shipping using the Indian Ocean. Piracy? Privateers? He states that for any of these reasons, there will grow a desire to move manufacturing closer to the end consumer. He does not address very well how regional powers will/could pick up the slack and even more countries will have to participate in global policing. This idea that the USA has stopped being the worlds policeman and that international lawlessness will rise is probably the weakest of his arguments. But we shall all see!
3. Mr. Zeihan states that it’s agriculture that keeps him awake at night. If anything happens to the current world system of inputs and delivery of final product to the rest of the world, then there will likely be chaos and starvation. China will likely be the biggest loser since it has the longest supply chains for everything and lacks the navy to guarantee delivery of necessary inputs.
4. Peter talks about global warming in two areas of the book – Energy and Agriculture. However, it does not factor in his comments in other areas. For example, Finance – if New York, London and Singapore, all coastal cities, are underwater because of global warming, it will be hard for them to remain as global capitals of Finance.
Finally, one outcome that he predicted was that global supply chains will collapse and we have seen this come true with the onset of COVID. Peter is saying that COVID is just the precursor of what will become the norm going forward. Hope he is wrong!

4 people found this helpful

JM

Don’t bet against America.

Reviewed in Canada on 1 August 2022

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Captivating discussion about the impact of industrialization, namely urbanization and the consequence on birth rates and demography in general. Also, the author explains what is needed to industrialized, i.e. cheap transportation provided by the availability of safe/secured waterways, roads to a lesser degree and containerization. The book continues by linking the impact of demography on exports, consumption, taxation and investments. Warren Buffet stated recently that one should not bet against America, and one major conclusion out of this book for me as a non-US investor is to bet on America.

2 people found this helpful

JP

A Must Read !

Reviewed in Canada on 24 June 2022

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A very creative analysis, which however forgot to include into the equation the declining EROEI of remaining planetary fossil fuel reserves and the potential development of high EROEI low cost nuclear fusion power plants.

2 people found this helpful

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